Such a Large Proportion of Arabic-Speaking Immigrants Vote Left – Could Decide the Election

A survey organized by the Arabic-language website Al Kompis – where the Social Democrats campaign in Arabic – confirms once again that non-European immigrants vote for the left to an extremely high degree. Now they are also so numerous that they could determine Swedish election outcomes.

Recently, Samnytt reported on previously unpublished figures from a poll showing that 80 percent of Muslim voters vote for the left – the Social Democrats or the Left Party. If the Green Party is included, the three opposition parties reach about 85 percent.

The difference compared to the government parties is also significant. The Moderates receive 2.1 percent, the Christian Democrats 1.5 percent, and the Liberals only 0.2 percent. Altogether, these three parties gather just 3.8 percent of the Muslim respondents in the Novus poll.

The Sweden Democrats, however, stand out among the Tidö parties with 10.4 percent. The party is thus considerably bigger than the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals combined within this group.

Recently, the site Al Kompis, a site targeting Arabic-speaking immigrants in Sweden, conducted a survey among its readers.

Just over 1,500 people responded, and 94 percent stated they would vote for the red-green opposition, while only four percent would vote for the Tidö government.

Arabic the Second Largest Language

Due to recent years of mass immigration, Arabic is now the country’s second largest language, and Sweden today has the highest proportion of residents with some kind of Muslim cultural background in the Western world after France and Bulgaria (not counting majority-Muslim countries in the Balkans).

In the 2022 election, voter turnout among those with non-European backgrounds was at a record low. According to researcher Tobias Hübinette, this combined with 30,000 presumed Muslims voting for the Nyans Party led to the Tidö parties’ victory.

This year, voters with non-European backgrounds will likely once again determine the election result, and the big question is whether the opposition will be able to mass-mobilize voters with non-European backgrounds in the million program areas (and not least second-generation voters) and get them to actually vote on September 13. If turnout continues to be low among voters with non-European backgrounds even in this year’s election, this simply means a possible defeat for the opposition. This year, not only the Nyans Party is running in the election but also another Muslim party – the Vision Party – which together may attract tens of thousands of votes in the million program areas.

At the same time, Hübinette notes that without immigrants, Sweden would have the world’s highest voter turnout, and if only “ethnic Swedes” voted, the Tidö government would almost certainly have won again this year.