The Örebro Party is making a strong advance in a new opinion poll ahead of this autumn’s municipal elections. According to the survey, the party could receive support from a fifth of the voters.
The survey was conducted by Novus on behalf of the local newspaper Nerikes Allehanda.
The results show that the ruling majority consisting of the Social Democrats, Moderates, and Centre Party in Örebro is likely to retain power after the election by securing around 34 of 65 seats.
At the same time, the poll points to a significant increase in support for Markus Allard and the Örebro Party. In the survey, about 18 percent of respondents state they would vote for the Örebro Party. This can be compared to the 2022 election result, when the party received just under eight percent of the votes.
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If these figures were to correspond to an actual election result, it would mean the party would go from five to twelve seats in Örebro municipal council.
The Social Democrats are also moving forward in the survey. The party receives the support of 34 percent of respondents, compared to 30.55 percent in the previous election.
SD and centre-right parties lose ground
At the same time, the poll shows that several of the other parties are losing ground. The Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Centre Party all receive less support than in the 2022 election.
The biggest decline is noted for the Liberals, who in the survey halve their support to just over three percent. The Moderates and Sweden Democrats also lose about three percentage points each.
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The survey also shows differences between various voter groups. The Örebro Party has its strongest support among younger men, with around 30 percent in the age group 18–39 reporting they sympathise with the party.
Meanwhile, the Social Democrats are stronger among women, with nearly 40 percent saying they support the party.
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About the survey
The survey is based on 1,017 responses from eligible voters in Örebro municipality and was conducted on behalf of Nerikes Allehanda between April 28 and May 10.
Participants responded via an online questionnaire and the results have been weighted against population data to increase representativeness.
The margin of error varies between about 1.2 and 3.4 percentage points depending on the party.
