The gap between the political blocks is decreasing

With less than a year left until the next election, the opposition’s lead in the polls is shrinking. In Demoskop’s November survey, the gap between the red-green coalition and the Tidö government is the smallest in two years.

In May, there was a ten-percentage-point difference between the blocks, which was almost halved to 5.7 in October, and in November it further decreases to 4.1 percentage points. The red-green coalition receives 50.8 percent compared to the Tidö parties’ 46.7.

The Liberals are still far below the threshold.

“The elephant in the room is that the Liberals’ percentage doesn’t count if they don’t have 4 percent. If the Liberals are excluded, it is difficult to imagine a Moderate-led government at present,” says Demoskop’s head of opinion, Johan Martinsson, to SvD.

The Christian Democrats fare better and also get a small boost. Both the Sweden Democrats and the Moderates decline slightly, and the Sweden Democrats’ position as the second largest party remains stable.

Opinion Poll

6.3%

−0.7

33.1%

+0.5

6.4%

-1.0

5.0%

−0.1

2.4%

+0.1

4.7%

+0.6

18.2%

−0.2

21.4%

-0.2