When the democratically decided Swedish climate demands are now being overridden by supranational EU demands, ticket prices for flights will skyrocket. According to experts, this is just the beginning of an escalating price development if the climate alarmist policies are allowed to continue. In the future, flying will be reserved only for the wealthy, businessmen, and the politicians who have made the climate decisions – their flight bills will be paid by taxpayers.
Today, several airlines operating in Sweden are engaging in civil disobedience against what they consider unreasonable demands for ‘sustainable’ non-fossil SAF aviation fuels, which are both insufficient in quantity and would make flight tickets too expensive for ordinary people. They would rather pay climate fines, as the alternative in most cases would be to shut down operations.
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But with the new and even more climate alarmist EU demands, called Refuel Aviation, the screws are being tightened on the aviation industry, forcing companies to significantly raise ticket prices. Only the wealthy, those traveling on their company’s expense, and the politicians who have made the climate policy decisions and travel at the taxpayers’ expense will be able to afford to fly.
The aviation industry will shrink significantly when a charter trip becomes economically accessible only to high-income earners. But even if ordinary people were to tighten their belts, save, give up other things, or work extra to afford a vacation abroad, another factor puts a stop to their plans.
Production a Third of the Demand
In order to meet the climate alarmist goals, nearly 500 billion liters of ‘sustainable’ aviation fuels must be produced annually by 2050. Most experts consider it impossible to ramp up production to those levels, as the current share is a modest 0.3 percent of the demand, equivalent to a day of global flying and 364 days with planes parked on the ground or in hangars.
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Producing allegedly ‘sustainable’ aviation fuel is many times more expensive than producing regular fossil aviation kerosene. Few want or dare to invest in facilities. A recent example is Shell, which recently announced that it is shelving plans indefinitely to build what was announced as one of Europe’s largest biofuel facilities. They believe the fuel will be too expensive to sell.
Lack of Raw Materials
From an optimistic perspective, the hope was that increased production would drive down prices. These hopes are now shattered. But there are significant doubts as to whether it is even possible to increase production to the levels needed. The bottleneck is not only the investors’ hesitation, but also the likely lack of raw materials to produce bio aviation fuel in significant quantities.
The alternative then becomes to produce synthetic aviation fuels, which are even more expensive compared to biofuels, which are already considerably more expensive than traditional fossil fuels. Such production also consumes large amounts of electricity, which in turn must be produced in a ‘sustainable’ manner for any climate effect to be achieved. Otherwise, it will only result in higher prices, to no avail.
‘All Experts Agree’ on Sky-High Ticket Prices
According to DN, in an article looking ahead and highlighting the consequences of the climate alarmist policy, ‘all experts agree that air ticket prices will rise sharply in the coming years and decades as a result of climate demands‘.
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And it seems they are standing on solid ground with their predictions. Several airlines have already announced significant increases in ticket prices as a result of the new supranational climate demands. For German Lufthansa, this initially means an increase of around a thousand units, and it will not stop there.
Even Those Who Don’t Fly Will Pay
Abstaining from flying is not enough to avoid price increases. As in many other areas of the ‘green transition’, everyone will contribute to financing the political climate demands on air travel through their tax bills.
In Sweden, the government and parliament have decided that domestic flights should be fossil-free by 2030. In order to achieve this goal, all politicians and public officials must lead by example and only fly on fossil-free fuels. This will be costly for taxpayers who themselves will not be able to afford a flight vacation.